3 Review(s)

Written by one of the foremost economists of India who has the unique reputation of having predicted the recent elections in India, Citizen Raj: Indian Elections 1952-2019 examines the determinants of elections in India, with a special focus on forecasting the 2019 general elections. Considering the author was part of the Prime Minister Economic Advisory Council (PMEAC), he has unmatched access to election data of each political party, as also top leaders of the BJP and Congress. However, the larger aim of the book is to become the reference go to book for any aspect of elections in India, or elsewhere in the world.Opposition Unity How do you measure it, what does it mean, how much of election outcomes in India are explained by this index/phenomenon; how much of a role is IOU expected to play in 2019.Does the performance of the economy matter for elections in India i.e. how valid is Bill Clintons belief, It is the Economy, Stupid, for Indian Elections.A detailed analysis, recap, of all state elections since 2014, and how do they, individually, and collectively, point to 2019Measurement of economic performance, 1950 to 2019.Caste and Religion Often assumed to be the determinants of elections in India; how true?Can a personality effect distinct from political party be statistically established; was there, and of what magnitude, a Modi effect in 2014; compared to an Indira Gandhi effect in 1971; or a Nehru effect earlier.The influence of social media in recent elections and the predictive of opinion polls before social media, and after.